Something’s Gotta Give… …And the Fed never does Dear Partners, For the month of January, the Caravel Capital Fund returned -3.42%. While the SPAC book contributed materially to the fund’s positive returns in 2020 and 2021, it has been a source of pain both in 2022 and again in January, constituting approximately half the month’s […]
The Economy is Finally Slowing What this means for stock and bond prices The Caravel Capital Fund generated a positive return for the month of December of +0.68% to finish the year -7.50%. December’s return came from combining the Merger Arbitrage book and Pairs trading, while our Alpha trades were a drag on the portfolio. […]
Cause and Effect What is in store for 2023 The past twelve months have proved challenging for both fixed-income and equity investors—arguably one of the most brutal years in half a century. These conditions were primarily the result of the drastic tightening of monetary conditions by central banks. To identify the best opportunities for 2023, we […]
Sticking with what we know Dear Partners, For the month of October, the Caravel Capital Fund returned 0.06%. The month of October was a challenge by most measures. The size and speed of the price changes in bond, currency, and equity markets left us asking, “What pool of capital could be this impetuous? Surely endowments, […]
Down but not out Dear Partners, For the month of September, the Caravel Capital Fund returned -8.49%, bringing 2022’s year-to-date return to -8.10%. Very little went right for risk assets in September, with the S&P 500 (-9.22%) and Barclays Global Corporate Bond Index (-5.14%), to name two examples. The Fund was no exception, experiencing by […]
Where are we, and where are we heading? Where are we? For the month of August, the Caravel Capital Fund was down -0.33%, bringing the total net return for 2022 to 0.43%. Since mid-2021, we have warned our partners that we saw trouble ahead for stock valuations. We have tried our best to take sufficient […]
The Good, The Bad, and The Unexpected Dear Partners, For the month of July, the Caravel Capital fund returned -1.61%, bringing the total net return for 2022 to 0.77%. The Good We completed last month’s letter as we began deploying capital with some tempered optimism. The Bad The next day, global stock markets began a […]
Finding Equilibrium (A.K.A. Price Discovery) Dear Partners, For the month of June, the Caravel CAD fund was up +0.82%, bringing the total net return for 2022 to +2.42%. In June, the bear market of 2022 continued to plumb new lows as it tried to discover where sufficient demand exists to satisfy continuous supply. We are […]
We take small losses to avoid big ones. Dear Partners, For the month of May, the Caravel Capital Fund returned -1.61%, bringing the total net return for 2022 to +1.58%. The most challenging times for an asset manager are the moments just before a strategy begins working and just after it stops. During May, we […]
Are We There Yet? For the month of April, the Caravel Capital fund was up 0.10%, bringing the total net return for 2022 to 3.25%. This is one of those rare times that we don’t have a lot to say. The concerns we have expressed over the past six months have come to bear (pun […]